May
31
2016

Currency Implosion Venezuela; Who’s Next and Gold Thoughts

I guess I might have surprised some with my comments in Current Thoughts yesterday on a bounce now in the precious metals. When I say in my comments certain things, all the other pieces have to fall in place. In this case, the dollar has to test its recent lows too and yes, the ECB can trump current thought this week …

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Mar
29
2016

The Dollar and Gold Inverse Relationship Still Matters – For Now

From my Current Thoughts on 3/24 I put up a chart of the dollar and said: “Today was a consolidation day before the next move, which can still go either way.” We have seen the dollar since fall and gold take off higher with today’s move a significant one. Yes, for now, the dollar still matters. We have to let …

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Feb
15
2016

Why I Am Not All In For Gold – Yet

Gold has bounced from the $1,050-$1,100 range it had traded in and moved up about $150 and I keep getting emails asking me whether I think the $1,000 mark can still be broken. For those who have followed my call for lower prices in gold, my advice has still been the same; dollar cost average into your allocation into precious …

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Dec
5
2015

Why Harry Dent’s Call For Gold To Go To $250 Is Wrong

Harry Dent has been negative on gold and has has some debates with some gold bulls like Peter Schiff where I agree with Dent’s deflationary take on the economy. You can listen to that Dent/Schiff interview here (or copy and paste this link into your browser: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=27q-rKPZMn0 ). Harry Dent’s latest article Gold $5,000: Maybe When You’re Dead! calls for gold to fall …

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Jul
22
2015

April Call To Wait And Buy Gold Below $1,000 Still In Effect

Summary The Dollar has been rising since 2011 yet every “expert” in gold still calls for a dollar crash. Despite a possible bounce in gold at present, gold will still break below $1,000 as we complete the deflationary credit contraction phase. Fear; still the missing ingredient. Where will it come from? For gold to move higher this fear must come …

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Jun
13
2015

Gold Is Knocked Down, but Not Out

Gold had a range of $10 on Friday, closing down slightly in the middle of that range at a bid of $1,181.30. Silver has been acting weaker than gold the last 30 days, 6.34% lower while gold is down 2.78%. The last year silver is down 18.28% while gold is lower by 7.21%. This is not what investors in gold and …

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Mar
17
2015

Data is Dead; All Hail the Fed!

What Does this Data Tell Us? Does the Market Care? All the market cares about is what a few words from the Fed meeting say tomorrow, not what the data tells us. That’s what we’ll find out tomorrow with the results of a two day Fed meeting culminating in an announcement about the future of interest rates. Traders and markets …

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Jan
9
2015

2015 Predictions for Gold and Silver

Over the last few years I have been one of the few who sell gold and silver that have been dollar bullish as well as being in the deflation rather than inflation camp. Because of this viewpoint, I have been ingnored by some of the Austrian websites like LewRockwell.com because of their mantra for a dollar collapse and adherence to …

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Nov
18
2014

Is Deflation Still a Threat to Gold?

When you talk to investors as to why they buy gold, many look to the precious metal as being a hedge against inflation. But since 2011 we have been experiencing deflation and the yellow metal has felt the affect of an overall declining commodity market. Many that have been relentlessly bullish on gold since 2011 point to inflation in the …

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Apr
23
2014

Which Has Been Better since 1975, Gold or Savings at Bank?

With banks paying very little interest these days, investors have been seeking out ways to earn more than the paltry less than 1/2 percent that banks are paying on savings. The Federal Reserve has kept interest rates artificially low, hurting those seniors and other savers who don’t trust the stock or bond market with their nest egg. But some of …

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