Sep
25
2014

Gold and Silver Outlook 9-25-2014

Gold fell to an 8 month low today but rebounded mid-day. The scores for gold and silver stayed at -100.

Was this the Bottom for Gold?

Was this a turn up in gold from oversold conditions? Sure. One day does not a trend make, so we need to realize that upturns always come and we were due for a move higher. Unfortunately any upturn in precious metals will be followed by a test and break of the lows as I have been warning about.

From the Trading Desk

The USD has now extended a four year high with improving economic data fueling speculation that the Federal Reserve is moving closer to raising interest rates.

Gold traded down to $1,205 overnight before speculative traders and physical buyers in Asia came in to lift it off its lows.  Gold gained further legs in the NY session as equities sold off swiftly.  A report that Russian lawmakers, in response to sanctions, may draft legislation that would allow them to seize foreign assets weighed on US equities.  The Dow Jones is currently down 240 points (1.40%) and the inverse correlation it has had with gold of late allowed for the yellow metal to move up past $1,220.  Silver hasn’t been able to move into positive territory like gold has today and support remains at $17.

Mining Stocks Leading Gold Down

Mining stocks are breaking their lows and testing their 52 week lows depending on the indexes or ETFs. The following is the chart of the Canadian miners ($CDNX) followed by the HUI Gold Bugs Index and the ETF GDX. They aren’t pretty charts.

CDNX

HUI Index 9-25-2014

 

gdx

9-25-2014 GLD

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About Doug Eberhardt

Doug Eberhardt is a 28 year financial services veteran and precious metals broker selling gold and silver at 1% over wholesale cost. Doug has written a book to help investors understand how gold and silver fit into a diversified portfolio, how to buy gold and silver, and what metals to buy. The book; “Buy Gold and Silver Safely” is available by clicking here Contact phone number for Buy Gold and Silver Safely is 888-604-6534

Disclosure:

Commodity Futures Trading Commission Futures and Options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don’t trade with capital you can’t afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Purchase/Sell futures or options. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve gains or losses similar to those discussed in this outlook. The past track record of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

All trades, patterns, charts, systems, etc. discussed in this outlook and the product materials are for illustrative purposes only and not to be construed as specific advisory recommendations. All ideas and material presented are entirely those of the author.