We are setting up for a disastrous next year for the markets but the markets don’t sense it yet. The stronger dollar will be retaliated by China soon enough and we have been here before. The Fed just doesn’t seem to get it with their 3 more rate hike talk. And those who trade the markets ignore the fact that this …
Read MoreJun
15
2016
Gold One More Leg Higher and the Case for A Last Leg Lower
By: Doug Eberhardt
Category: Gold
Tags: Brexit, China, debt, dollar index, EURO, fed, GDP, Interest rates
As predicted in my Current Thoughts, the Fed did not raise interest rates and Yellen once again has egg on her face from last December where the Fed was scheduled to have 3 or 4 more rate increases for 2016. Now there may be zero rate increases if what I foresee occurring in the economy takes place. What this means …
Read MoreMay
31
2016
I guess I might have surprised some with my comments in Current Thoughts yesterday on a bounce now in the precious metals. When I say in my comments certain things, all the other pieces have to fall in place. In this case, the dollar has to test its recent lows too and yes, the ECB can trump current thought this week …
Read MoreMar
29
2016
The Dollar and Gold Inverse Relationship Still Matters – For Now
By: Doug Eberhardt
Category: Gold
Tags: $1, 300, Bonds, Dollar, EURO, fed, Gold, Interest rates, resistance, silver, TLT, YEN
From my Current Thoughts on 3/24 I put up a chart of the dollar and said: “Today was a consolidation day before the next move, which can still go either way.” We have seen the dollar since fall and gold take off higher with today’s move a significant one. Yes, for now, the dollar still matters. We have to let …
Read MoreFeb
15
2016
Why I Am Not All In For Gold – Yet
By: Doug Eberhardt
Category: Gold
Tags: 10 year treasury, 8 indicators, advice, CNBC, CRB Index, Deflation, Dollar, economic data, europe, ever, fed, Gold, increase, Japan, market, PBOC, quantitative easing, rate, Steve Liesman, stock, u-6, Velocity of money, vix, worst start
Gold has bounced from the $1,050-$1,100 range it had traded in and moved up about $150 and I keep getting emails asking me whether I think the $1,000 mark can still be broken. For those who have followed my call for lower prices in gold, my advice has still been the same; dollar cost average into your allocation into precious …
Read MoreDec
5
2015
Why Harry Dent’s Call For Gold To Go To $250 Is Wrong
By: Doug Eberhardt
Category: Gold
Tags: $250, Deflation, fed, Gold, Harry Dent, Interest rates, ounce, Peter Schiff, QE, raise
Harry Dent has been negative on gold and has has some debates with some gold bulls like Peter Schiff where I agree with Dent’s deflationary take on the economy. You can listen to that Dent/Schiff interview here (or copy and paste this link into your browser: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=27q-rKPZMn0 ). Harry Dent’s latest article Gold $5,000: Maybe When You’re Dead! calls for gold to fall …
Read MoreJul
22
2015
April Call To Wait And Buy Gold Below $1,000 Still In Effect
By: Doug Eberhardt
Category: Gold
Tags: Deflation, dollar crash, Editor's Pick, fear, fed, FreedomFest, Gold, Hyperinflation, Mike Maloney, Peter Schiff, Seeking Alpha
Summary The Dollar has been rising since 2011 yet every “expert” in gold still calls for a dollar crash. Despite a possible bounce in gold at present, gold will still break below $1,000 as we complete the deflationary credit contraction phase. Fear; still the missing ingredient. Where will it come from? For gold to move higher this fear must come …
Read MoreJun
13
2015
Gold had a range of $10 on Friday, closing down slightly in the middle of that range at a bid of $1,181.30. Silver has been acting weaker than gold the last 30 days, 6.34% lower while gold is down 2.78%. The last year silver is down 18.28% while gold is lower by 7.21%. This is not what investors in gold and …
Read MoreMar
17
2015
Data is Dead; All Hail the Fed!
By: Doug Eberhardt
Category: Gold
Tags: buy, Canadian Dollar, data, Dollar, economic, ETF, EURO, fed, Federal Reserve, Gold, Interest rates, mining stocks, Pound, silver, trading, YEN
What Does this Data Tell Us? Does the Market Care? All the market cares about is what a few words from the Fed meeting say tomorrow, not what the data tells us. That’s what we’ll find out tomorrow with the results of a two day Fed meeting culminating in an announcement about the future of interest rates. Traders and markets …
Read MoreJan
9
2015
2015 Predictions for Gold and Silver
By: Doug Eberhardt
Category: Gold
Tags: 2015, austrian, central banks, contraction, credit, dealer, Deflation, Dollar, EURO, fed, Gold, Hyperinflation, Inflation, lewrockwell.com, M2, Predictions, silver, Stocks, YEN
Over the last few years I have been one of the few who sell gold and silver that have been dollar bullish as well as being in the deflation rather than inflation camp. Because of this viewpoint, I have been ingnored by some of the Austrian websites like LewRockwell.com because of their mantra for a dollar collapse and adherence to …
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