May
29
2018

Gold’s Last Stand Before Liftoff for the Summer

  The beginning of the month I wrote an article called Gold Bottom? Gold Bottom? – Current Thoughts for 5/1/2018 I wrote in that article; “we may still have one smaller move below $1,300 to possibly $1,280.” We got down to a closing low of 1288.30 on 5/18 and an intraday low of 1282.27 on 5/21. There should be no …

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Jun
15
2016

Gold One More Leg Higher and the Case for A Last Leg Lower

As predicted in my Current Thoughts, the Fed did not raise interest rates and Yellen once again has egg on her face from last December where the Fed was scheduled to have 3 or 4 more rate increases for 2016. Now there may be zero rate increases if what I foresee occurring in the economy takes place. What this means …

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Mar
29
2016

The Dollar and Gold Inverse Relationship Still Matters – For Now

From my Current Thoughts on 3/24 I put up a chart of the dollar and said: “Today was a consolidation day before the next move, which can still go either way.” We have seen the dollar since fall and gold take off higher with today’s move a significant one. Yes, for now, the dollar still matters. We have to let …

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Jun
30
2015

Gold and Silver Current Thoughts 6-30-2015

Gold and silver started the day lower, tried to make a run higher and ended up back to the lows of the day. I want to remind gold bulls what stage we are in with gold. Richard Russell sums it up best (and I mentioned this in my book, Buy Gold and Silver Safely. I believe gold is in a …

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Mar
17
2015

Data is Dead; All Hail the Fed!

What Does this Data Tell Us? Does the Market Care? All the market cares about is what a few words from the Fed meeting say tomorrow, not what the data tells us. That’s what we’ll find out tomorrow with the results of a two day Fed meeting culminating in an announcement about the future of interest rates. Traders and markets …

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Jan
9
2015

2015 Predictions for Gold and Silver

Over the last few years I have been one of the few who sell gold and silver that have been dollar bullish as well as being in the deflation rather than inflation camp. Because of this viewpoint, I have been ingnored by some of the Austrian websites like LewRockwell.com because of their mantra for a dollar collapse and adherence to …

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Nov
18
2014

Is Deflation Still a Threat to Gold?

When you talk to investors as to why they buy gold, many look to the precious metal as being a hedge against inflation. But since 2011 we have been experiencing deflation and the yellow metal has felt the affect of an overall declining commodity market. Many that have been relentlessly bullish on gold since 2011 point to inflation in the …

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Jul
31
2014

8 Indicators That Tell Us Where Gold Might Go Next

When trying to advise clients on what to do with their hard earned dollars, especially when I have a natural bias towards gold that is bullish, I look at many indicators that hopefully give me insight on timing the markets. It’s not easy to say “hold off” to clients or to “dollar cost average into a position” but I have …

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Apr
23
2014

Which Has Been Better since 1975, Gold or Savings at Bank?

With banks paying very little interest these days, investors have been seeking out ways to earn more than the paltry less than 1/2 percent that banks are paying on savings. The Federal Reserve has kept interest rates artificially low, hurting those seniors and other savers who don’t trust the stock or bond market with their nest egg. But some of …

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