Over the last few years I have been one of the few who sell gold and silver that have been dollar bullish as well as being in the deflation rather than inflation camp. Because of this viewpoint, I have been ingnored by some of the Austrian websites like LewRockwell.com because of their mantra for a dollar collapse and adherence to …
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12
2014
The Illusion of an Economic Recovery
By: Doug Eberhardt
Category: Gold
Tags: congress, Consumer Sentiment, Deflation, derivatives, Dodd, Dollar, economic recovery, Frank, GDP, Gold, illusion, manufacturing, PPI, Retail Sales, spending, u-6, Unemployment
The Fed and many economists seem to think the economy is strong, but is it? My Thoughts on the Economy Based on the Data I Read The Fed ignores U-6 unemployment data which still has the rate over 11%. The Producers Price Index (PPI) today came in lower than expected. The Dollar is down $1 and fell since the PPI …
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18
2014
Is Deflation Still a Threat to Gold?
By: Doug Eberhardt
Category: Gold
Tags: 10 year, commodities, Deflation, Dollar, EURO, europe, fed, Gold, Japan, M2, money velocity, PPI, prices, Stock Market, Treasuries, YEN
When you talk to investors as to why they buy gold, many look to the precious metal as being a hedge against inflation. But since 2011 we have been experiencing deflation and the yellow metal has felt the affect of an overall declining commodity market. Many that have been relentlessly bullish on gold since 2011 point to inflation in the …
Read MoreSep
11
2014
It is easy to convince people of all the problems with the U.S. economy. We do have over $17.7 Trillion of national debt and a Federal Reserve with a suspect balance sheet compared to its pre-2008 financial crisis balance sheet. We also have budget deficits for the next decade to deal with and unfunded liabilities in the 10’s of trillions. …
Read MoreJul
31
2014
When trying to advise clients on what to do with their hard earned dollars, especially when I have a natural bias towards gold that is bullish, I look at many indicators that hopefully give me insight on timing the markets. It’s not easy to say “hold off” to clients or to “dollar cost average into a position” but I have …
Read MoreMay
7
2014
Why I See Lower Gold and Silver Prices Over the Next 3 to 4 Months
By: Doug Eberhardt
Category: Gold
Tags: 10 year, commodities, Dollar, Forbes, Gold, lower, prices, Rickards, S&P 500, silver, Treasuries, vix
I had called the gold short term bottom perfectly on April 23rd when gold was at $1,285. After a run up in gold to $1,316 today, and with the dollar bottoming, along with Yellen’s comment’s, the perception on where gold might go next doesn’t look good for a further move higher over the short term. While anything can happen, this …
Read MoreApr
23
2014
Which Has Been Better since 1975, Gold or Savings at Bank?
By: Doug Eberhardt
Category: Gold
Tags: bank, Bonds, debt, Deflation, Dollar, Draghi, EURO, fed, Gold, Interest rates, Real Estate, savings, Stocks, Treasuries, Yellen, YEN
With banks paying very little interest these days, investors have been seeking out ways to earn more than the paltry less than 1/2 percent that banks are paying on savings. The Federal Reserve has kept interest rates artificially low, hurting those seniors and other savers who don’t trust the stock or bond market with their nest egg. But some of …
Read MoreMar
12
2014
We Are Not Off to the Races Yet With Gold
By: Doug Eberhardt
Category: Gold
Tags: Bank of Japan, Banks, Credit Contraction, Deflation, Dollar, Draghi, ECB, EURO, fed, fiscal stimulus, Future, Gold, Inflation, Interest rates, price, shadow banking, Shinzo, silver, Treasuries, YEN
Gold has had a nice bounce now off the bottom set in December of 2013, but are we off to the races just yet? Here is what I wrote last month where I concluded “we could go higher from here for a bit to trap more of the bulls who say the bottom is in.” We should start to see …
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30
2013
As I pointed out in my last article, I expected continued selling of gold by the big boys; the Hedge Funds, Mutual Funds and Professional traders and they didn’t disappoint. The largest ETF; SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) saw an outflow of 12.9 metric tons last week. From Kitco; Holdings of gold by SPDR Gold Shares (GLD), the world’s largest exchange-traded …
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7
2013
The results of the Fed decision came in. No taper. But the stock market sold off that day and so did gold. Why? The answer may be found in the following article posted at CNBC where they state; “but markets interpreted language in the decision to mean that the end may come sooner than expected.” If markets and price action tell …
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