Bernanke talking inflation, but it is deflation he is worried about. Don’t be fooled.
I Write This Article for Three Reasons
One, is to explain my current thoughts on the gold market, and two, to recommend taking some profit in the paper stocks and ETFs invested in gold and silver mining shares. And lastly, to wait for the pullback and buy physical gold and silver, setting yourself up for the third and final stage-what I call “the investment of a lifetime.”
The following three areas will be discussed in trying to decipher what the price of gold will do during deflation;
1. An analysis of Roy Jastram’s observations on gold and deflation.
2. A closer look at the 1929-1932 U.S. deflationary era and the possible flaw in Jastram’s analysis.
3. An analysis of what has happened with gold priced in Yen during the last decade of Japanese deflation.
When most people talk about interest rates today, they realize the lowest rates can go is to zero. Consequently, they believe at present the bottom is almost in for interest rates and the only thing the future holds is higher inflation and interest rates. But since the economy has not yet recovered, what can the Fed do to stimulate the …
I was a guest last night on the Blogtalkradio show, “The Optimistic Bear” with host Michael Surkan. It was a great show and the topics of discussion were gold, deflation, Austrian Economics, and a critique of mainstream financial advice including Modern Portfolio Theory and the Prudent Man Rule. The link to listen is here: http://surkanstance.blogspot.com/2010/07/this-week-on-bear-radio-gold-as.html – Specifically we discussed my …
In Part 2, I will address the 5, 10 and 30 year yields of the Japanese Government Bonds (JGB) and U.S. Dollar T-Bonds first and speak to the likeliness the U.S. will follow the Japan example of increasing Debt as a percentage of GDP to fight the deflationary credit contraction occurring. I’ll then correlate the four areas discussed in Part 1 and Part 2 with contemplations on how gold priced in U.S. Dollars will perform moving forward.