1
Sep

Current thoughts 9/1/16

From the Trading Desk

The market has had a week to digest Janet Yellen’s commentary at the Jackson Hole economic symposium, and it has so far interpreted her remarks as bearish for gold and the rest of the precious metals complex.  The Fed has maintained that a rate hike would be predicated upon improved US economic data and that the decision will be data driven.  Tomorrow, at 5:30 AM PT, brings the all-important US unemployment figures.  Market participants will be keenly watching the release of the figures as they are likely to strongly influence the Fed’s next interest rate pronouncement.  On the eve of this economic release, gold has found itself on precarious footing.  It has been trending steadily lower since mid-August and has tested down to just above $1,300 the past two days.  Major support is converging at the psychological level of $1,300, the 100 day moving average at $1,296.80, and an eight point trendline dating back to December 2015 at $1,291.  A better-than-expected jobs figure could send gold below all of these which would encourage further short selling.  A worse-than-expected jobs figure would send gold right back up again and would represent an impressive hold of support though.  Stay tuned!

For the ETF Trading Service today we got stopped out of RUSS and SQQQ by a few pennies, but re-entered them quickly after the manufacturer’s data. We also got 2 scalps for .25 points or more out of JNUG and NUGT. We are presently in 4 trades going into tomorrow’s jobs report which will dictate the dollar, gold and the markets next moves.

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About Doug Eberhardt

Doug Eberhardt is a 28 year financial services veteran and precious metals broker selling gold and silver at 1% over wholesale cost. Doug has written a book to help investors understand how gold and silver fit into a diversified portfolio, how to buy gold and silver, and what metals to buy. The book; “Buy Gold and Silver Safely” is available by clicking here Contact phone number for Buy Gold and Silver Safely is 888-604-6534

Disclosure:

Commodity Futures Trading Commission Futures and Options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don’t trade with capital you can’t afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Purchase/Sell futures or options. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve gains or losses similar to those discussed in this outlook. The past track record of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

All trades, patterns, charts, systems, etc. discussed in this outlook and the product materials are for illustrative purposes only and not to be construed as specific advisory recommendations. All ideas and material presented are entirely those of the author.